Tuesday, December 14, 2021

Stocks fall on inflation worries ahead of FOMC meeting

(14 December 2021) The markets are looking jittery ahead of Wednesday's much-anticipated FOMC meeting where Fed Chair Jerome Powell is widely expected to announce an accelerated tapering of QE asset purchases.  Stocks fell for the second straight day on Tuesday after the wholesale PPI inflation number came in higher than expected at 9.6%.  The inflation problem comes at a particularly bad time for the Fed in the wake of fresh Covid restrictions in Europe following the rapid spread of the Omicron variant. 

This early week sell-off was in line with our expectations given the nasty Mercury-Mars-Ketu alignment.  Mars and Ketu (South Lunar Node) are both malefic planets and their conjunction increased the odds of a decline on Monday and Tuesday.  The involvement of Mercury in this configuration further added to the tension.  In my weekly market forecast from November 3, I had suggested that this Mars-Ketu conjunction could signal major problems for the Fed given its affliction to the natal horoscope of the Federal Reserve (Dec 23, 1913).  Powell appears to be caught between a rock and a hard place here as inflation is much higher than expected while slowing seems inevitable given the new Covid restrictions.  The last thing the Fed wants to do is to tighten in a slowing environment and yet that is the difficult reality of the current situation. 

Large cap tech stocks in the Nasdaq suffered more than other indices as perennial market leaders were dumped ahead of the likely Fed tightening tomorrow.  Large cap, growth-oriented stocks (Apple, Tesla, Microsoft, etc.) are more dependent on low interest rates and thus become more vulnerable if the Fed tightens monetary policy by reducing QE stimulus and hiking rates. 



One reason why tech stocks suffered more in the sell-off can be seen in the Nasdaq horoscope (February 8, 1971).  This week's Mercury-Mars-Ketu alignment closely activates the Ascendant at 8 Aries (all positions sidereal zodiac, Krishnamurti ayanamsha).  Mercury (7 Sagittarius) was exactly aligned with Mars (6 Scorpio) and Ketu (7 Scorpio).  As an added affliction, both Mars and Ketu were conjunct the 8th house cusp which is considered a malefic dussthana house by traditional Vedic reckoning.  While Mercury was not in a full-strength aspect under standard rules (Mars square/opposition or Ketu trine), the exact 30-degree angular separation nonetheless created a negative resonance with both Mars and Ketu. 



Looking ahead, markets could remain volatile after Wednesday's FOMC meeting.  While some relief is possible as Mercury moves away from its alignment, Mars and Ketu will inch closer to an exact conjunction with the 8th house cusp and will form an opposition aspect with the Moon on Thursday. 

As noted in previous posts, the overall risk level is also elevated due to the approach of the Venus retrograde station on Sunday, Dec 19 and the Saturn-Uranus square on Dec 23.  Both are potentially negative influences on sentiment in the coming days.


For more details, check out my weekly subscriber newsletter which is published every Saturday afternoon (EST).   In addition to reviewing the key planetary and technical influences on US and Indian stocks for the short and medium term, I also provide an astrological analysis of potential upcoming moves in currencies, gold and oil.