The long-awaited and much-hyped Facebook IPO has turned into something
of a fiasco. Revelations have emerged about possible insider
malfeasance from the share underwriter Morgan Stanley and their
last-minute revisions to the financial outlook of Facebook which left
some main street investors out of luck and holding some very expensive
shares. Lawsuits have been filed so the matter will be taken up by the
courts although the market is rendering some early judgment as the
stock price has fallen from its initial $38 to under $30.
My original assessment of Facebook was based on the horoscope of the
IPO and so far that has been wide of the mark. One of the difficulties
in analyzing first trade charts is that there is very little
information to work with in the initial stages. It's a bit like trying
to make predictions for a new-born baby in the first days and weeks of
life. Transits may be a part of the overall equation, but the natal
chart is still very strong and therefore its aspects and placements may
be disproportionately resonating through the first phase of life. This
may also be the case with the Facebook IPO horoscope. It seems as if
some of those difficult natal patterns -- especially the very close
Venus-Saturn aspect -- are damaging the share price in these initial
stages regardless of some favourable Jupiter transits that may be in
play.
While useful, the IPO horoscope would not necessarily show the emerging
controversy surrounding Facebook and insider trading. For that, it may
be useful to examine an older and more established horoscope for
Facebook, namely the incorporation chart of 29 July 2004. Although we
don't know the exact time that Facebook was incorporated, this chart
nonetheless reveals some interesting perspectives on the public
offering of 18 May. Amazingly, we see Venus and Saturn front and
center once again. Natal Venus (28 Taurus ) was in a close aspect to
transiting Saturn at the time of the IPO. As I have noted previously,
the Venus-Saturn combination is a perfect illustration of the desire to
harness or adapt (Saturn) friendship (Venus) for instrumental or
financial ends. A Venus-Saturn combination is therefore a nice
planetary picture for an IPO of a company that is "selling" its users'
friendships to advertisers.
We can see that transiting Venus was also just a stone's throw away in
the first degree of Gemini so it had the effect of highlighting the
natal Venus placement. Although the fifth house aspect is not a full
strength one according to Vedic aspecting rules, the degreewise aspect
is so tight, that even a partial strength trine aspect is going to have
some negative effects. The bad news is that Saturn is moving slowly
here ahead of its direct station on 25 June. It will station in an
exact trine aspect to Venus. Saturn's direct station at 28 Virgo will
also be in tight minor aspect to Mars (28 Cancer) so this is another
reason for Facebook's troubles at this time. A little bit of Saturn
can be a good thing, but this extended transit around its station
produces too much Saturnian energy and is not favourable. And if we
take the Sagittarius Moon as the 1st house (Chandra Lagna), then we can
see that Saturn will be stationing in the 10th house in Virgo. The
10th house represents public acclaim and achievement, so the Saturn
influence here is suggestive of public difficulty and damage to its
status.
We can also see that Facebook would likely be in the news now due to
the simultaneous transits to the Sun by Pluto and Uranus. The Sun
represents public projection and leadership and when it is activated by
transits from such distant, slow moving planets, the chances of some
kind of higher profile is likely. Facebook has definitely been all
over the news in the past month, both in the run-up to the IPO and then
the scandal ridden aftermath.
One key reason why the IPO ended in scandal and recrimination is due to
the Neptune influence on this chart. Neptune is in opposition aspect
to Mercury, the planet of trading and communication. Since Neptune
symbolizes deceit and distortions when in hard aspect, this
Neptune-Mercury aspect is a classic signature for an event that
involves deception and confusion. Underwriter Morgan Stanley took the
unprecedented step of reducing its growth estimates to insider clients
just hours before the IPO which left small investors holding the bag.
The Nasdaq also bungled the opening as it couldn't handle the trading
volume but refused to admit its limitations. The confusion was so
pronounced that some traders did not know if their trades had been
executed or not for almost a week after the 18 May launch. The whole
situation created an atmosphere of distrust and discord between Wall
Street and the investing public. The bad news here is that Neptune
will remain opposite Mercury for the rest of 2012 and well into 2013.
This could mean that Facebook will have transparency issues around its
financial dealings so the whiff of scandal may linger for some time to
come.
Even with the unknown time, the incorporation chart is likely running
the Venus dasha. Using the noon default time, the Venus dasha was
probably in effect at the time of incorporation and is still running
now. Venus is strong in this chart by virtue of its placement in its
own sign of Taurus. Venus is also further strengthened by the
placement of Jupiter in its nakshatra of Purva Phalguni. Clearly,
Facebook has been a phenomenally successful company. However, Pluto's
close opposition to Pluto hints at the kind of scenario that erupted
around the IPO. Pluto is the planet of power and manipulation and is
associated with large corporations. Its opposition aspect can mean
that the exercising of power and behind the scenes manipulation plays a
stronger role in daily affairs, especially when planets are afflicted
by transits. Given Saturn extended aspect with Venus here, it is
quite likely that this darker Plutonian side of the Facebook
incorporation chart is playing out.
I would therefore expect the intense financial scrutiny on Facebook to
continue at least until Saturn turns direct on 25 June. Once it begins
to move away from its aspect with Venus, there may be more clarity
brought to this situation. It also suggests that Facebook's share
price may stand a better chance of rebounding once Saturn moves away.
While there is only an indirect relationship between the incorporation
chart and the share price, there should nonetheless be some correlation
there. It does suggest, however, that Facebook may have some tough
times for the next month until Saturn goes direct. But the ongoing
influence of Neptune into 2013 may mean that questions about
transparency will act as a drag on share price for a while yet.